Prediction of Jose Dominguez Alonso vs Izan Almazan Valiente at M15 Ceuta 12-09-25

• In recent months, Jose Dominguez Alonso has outperformed Izan Almazan Valiente on second serve points, with a win rate of 49.01% compared to 46.91%. Could this superiority in serving give Alonso an edge in their upcoming match?
• Almazan Valiente shows a stronger return game, having won 49.18% of opponents' second serve points versus Alonso's 46.55%. This suggests a potential advantage when breaking serves.
• On first serve returns, Alonso slightly leads with a success rate of 28.87%, whereas Almazan Valiente follows at 27.06%.
• Alonso has been more effective under pressure, saving 59.55% of breakpoints faced compared to Almazan Valiente's 48.44%. Might this resilience prove crucial?
• In match performance over the past year, Almazan Valiente holds a better win percentage, securing 53.85% of matches, while Alonso trails at 37.50%.
• Both players boast their best win rates on clay, each achieving a 41% success rate. However, Alonso struggles on indoor hard courts with a 0% win rate, suggesting vulnerability on this surface.
• Competing primarily in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, Almazan Valiente has a better win record of 53.85% compared to Alonso’s 38.46%.
• Head-to-head history sees Almazan Valiente as the leading player, winning their sole encounter decisively in straight sets, 6-4, 6-2.
• Almazan Valiente has faced less formidable opponents on average, with a ranking difference suggesting a discrepancy in competition level faced.
• In deciding sets, Almazan Valiente exhibits greater composure, winning 56% of matches going the distance, contrasting with Alonso's 29% success rate.
• On breakpoint conversions, Alonso again demonstrates superior ability, converting 40.63% of opportunities, while Almazan Valiente converts 31.37%.

Editorial Prediction (December 9, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent statistics, both players exhibit distinct strengths that could influence the outcome of their upcoming tennis match. Jose Dominguez Alonso shows a commendable second serve performance and ability to convert breakpoints, both of which could be significant factors against a returning player like Izan Almazan Valiente.

Izan Almazan Valiente, however, has the upper hand in both return games and overall match victories, highlighting his tenacity and winning form. His historical head-to-head success against Alonso further bolsters his position as a formidable opponent.

Although Alonso displays resilience under pressure, saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, Almazan Valiente's track record suggests a consistency and capability to handle critical moments effectively, especially in deciding sets.

Taking these factors into account, Izan Almazan Valiente is likely favored to win the upcoming match, leveraging his stronger return game and previous victory over Alonso.